How different is an interesting open problem. Even if hominid-like creatures develop say 10% of the time after a billion years (reasonable), all of history would likely be quite different each time.
How on earth can we know that 10% is reasonable?
The “even if” and “say” should indicate the intent—it wasn’t even a guess, just an example used as an upper bound.
I’m not convinced the evolution of hominids is a black swan, but it’s not an issue I’ve researched much.
The (reasonable) assertion was what struck me.
How on earth can we know that 10% is reasonable?
The “even if” and “say” should indicate the intent—it wasn’t even a guess, just an example used as an upper bound.
I’m not convinced the evolution of hominids is a black swan, but it’s not an issue I’ve researched much.
The (reasonable) assertion was what struck me.