I agree if you mean this in the sense of, someone infecting you with HIV suddenly makes it highly tractable extend your own lifespan.
Like my updates from these incidents are:
Weak update on
(downwards) How well current approaches are working for sub-superhuman capability levels
(upwards) How much effort we need to put in to get them to work
Moderate negative update on a mix of
Overall lab competence
How seriously big labs take misalignment risks
How rushed and hectic it is inside big labs
Like, I’m learning a problem I thought was relatively easy(*), is actually harder. And the people I thought were on top of the problem are actually not at all.
And this does mean there is more room for improvement. But its still straightforwardly a negative update on the overall situation (modulo things like this scaring people / waking people up).
*easy in the sense, I’d strongly suspect smart hard-working people be able to solve it
I agree if you mean this in the sense of, someone infecting you with HIV suddenly makes it highly tractable extend your own lifespan.
Like my updates from these incidents are:
Weak update on
(downwards) How well current approaches are working for sub-superhuman capability levels
(upwards) How much effort we need to put in to get them to work
Moderate negative update on a mix of
Overall lab competence
How seriously big labs take misalignment risks
How rushed and hectic it is inside big labs
Like, I’m learning a problem I thought was relatively easy(*), is actually harder. And the people I thought were on top of the problem are actually not at all.
And this does mean there is more room for improvement. But its still straightforwardly a negative update on the overall situation (modulo things like this scaring people / waking people up).
*easy in the sense, I’d strongly suspect smart hard-working people be able to solve it