Suggestion: Since the future of intelligent software is a big interest in the community, i’d be curious to get more resolution on people’s worldviews. We could try to get numbers for opinions like:
‘I don’t have much to say about this topic right now.’ ← for people who are interested in non-machine-intelligence parts of LW
‘There’s a probability of __ that Bostrom-style superintelligent software will dominate the history of the 2017 to 2100 CE period.’
Same as the above, but for 2200 to 3000 CE.
‘There’s a probability of __ that whole brain emulation will dominate the history of the 2017 to 2100 CE period.’
Same as the above, but for 2200 to 3000 CE.
etc
I’d also be curious to see data on worldviews about the future impact of:
Slightly more traditional forms of automation, computing, and software (such as workforce automation, future financial software, etc).
Biotech and genetic engineering
Decentralized manufacturing and nanoscale technologies
The space industry
Weapons of mass destruction
Novel political systems.
This is a lot of questions, so feel free to trim or select as desired.
Suggestion: Since the future of intelligent software is a big interest in the community, i’d be curious to get more resolution on people’s worldviews. We could try to get numbers for opinions like:
‘I don’t have much to say about this topic right now.’ ← for people who are interested in non-machine-intelligence parts of LW
‘There’s a probability of __ that Bostrom-style superintelligent software will dominate the history of the 2017 to 2100 CE period.’
Same as the above, but for 2200 to 3000 CE.
‘There’s a probability of __ that whole brain emulation will dominate the history of the 2017 to 2100 CE period.’
Same as the above, but for 2200 to 3000 CE.
etc
I’d also be curious to see data on worldviews about the future impact of:
Slightly more traditional forms of automation, computing, and software (such as workforce automation, future financial software, etc).
Biotech and genetic engineering
Decentralized manufacturing and nanoscale technologies
The space industry
Weapons of mass destruction
Novel political systems.
This is a lot of questions, so feel free to trim or select as desired.