Prediction Market Madness—Games Night

For our inaugural meetup, we’re going to sit down, play some games, answer some trivia, and even do some social deduction and scheming, but with one big twist: every outcome will be represented by a play-money prediction market on https://​​manifold.markets/​​!

Everyone will start the night with 500 Mana, the currency of manifold markets. You can gain mana by correctly predicting outcomes, or by day-trading, or any number of other strategies. Whoever finishes the night with the most Mana wins a cool and rare prize!

Please note: you do not need to know anything about prediction markets to participate! We’ll dedicate the start of the event to getting familiar with https://​​manifold.markets

This event is inspired by an event that was run in NYC. Check out this example of a trivia question market from the NYC event: https://​​manifold.markets/​​ShakedKoplewitz/​​16-did-the-30-year-war-actually-las.

If you are coming:

  • Please RSVP here on lesswrong.com. I have made a reservation and need to know headcount

  • Bringing a laptop is strongly recommended

  • Food and Drink are available at the venue, at your own expense

  • Feel free to bring any table-top games that are simple to explain and take less than half an hour to play

Contact

keri@warr.ca or sandraudiga#4876 on discord