This seems far too low to me. It’s already been a year and a half since the creation of the fic, and Harry hasn’t even finished his first year. Furthermore, it’s been 3 months since the last update of MoR.
Four months, and the real question is how many arcs are left. I suspect there aren’t that many.
(Though 80% might still be low—this is my first time trying to put probabilities to my predictions!)
I’d give at least 50% odds that the fic finishes before the start of Harry’s second year, and more than 90% that it finishes before the end of his second year.
I’d give at least 50% odds that the fic finishes before the start of Harry’s second year, and more than 90% that it finishes before the end of his second year.
I’d give at least 50% odds that Harry leaves school and does something else before the end of his second year, but that this is not the end of the fic.
This seems far too low to me. It’s already been a year and a half since the creation of the fic, and Harry hasn’t even finished his first year. Furthermore, it’s been 3 months since the last update of MoR.
Four months, and the real question is how many arcs are left. I suspect there aren’t that many. (Though 80% might still be low—this is my first time trying to put probabilities to my predictions!)
I’d give at least 50% odds that the fic finishes before the start of Harry’s second year, and more than 90% that it finishes before the end of his second year.
I’d give at least 50% odds that Harry leaves school and does something else before the end of his second year, but that this is not the end of the fic.
Good possibility to raise, but 50% seems way too high to me.