I agree. (Or perhaps we should plot in log space when measuring/minimizing errors in log space, and plot in linear space when measuring/minimizing errors in linear space. The former is nearer to the Right Thing here than the latter.)
There are several things I find unsatisfactory in my own analysis here and either I will write a followup or Valentin2026 and I will write one together. (We’re still discussing.)
Would have made much more sense (visually and otherwise) to show graphs in log space. Example: https://www.openphilanthropy.org/research/modeling-the-human-trajectory/
I agree. (Or perhaps we should plot in log space when measuring/minimizing errors in log space, and plot in linear space when measuring/minimizing errors in linear space. The former is nearer to the Right Thing here than the latter.)
There are several things I find unsatisfactory in my own analysis here and either I will write a followup or Valentin2026 and I will write one together. (We’re still discussing.)