If so much effort is being focused into AI research capability, I’d actually expect modally Agent-3 to be better than typical OpenBrain employee but completely incapable of replacing almost all employees in other fields. “capabilities are spiky” is a clear current fact about frontier AI, but your scenario seems to underestimate it.
If so much effort is being focused into AI research capability, I’d actually expect modally Agent-3 to be better than typical OpenBrain employee but completely incapable of replacing almost all employees in other fields. “capabilities are spiky” is a clear current fact about frontier AI, but your scenario seems to underestimate it.
This is a good point, and I think meshes with my point about lack of consensus about how powerful AIs are.
“Sure, they’re good at math and coding. But those are computer things, not real-world abilities.”