Right now we have a very centralized AGI race dominated by a few large US tech firms, with China in a distant second and not much else for known contenders. If the US/west makes a serious regulatory attempt to slow progress but China does not agree, that would probably only slow the race down by a few years and allow China’s chosen winner(s) to take the lead. Seems more likely the US will not take that chance.
In the unlikely scenario where there is true full international cooperation to slow progress, I expect that to simply allow some new decentralized crypto org to take the lead. In general multipolar scenarios are probably better.
AGI is coup complete regardless and probably implies regime change eventually—but hopefully subtle rather than overt.
Incorrect, as every slowdown in progress allows alternative technologies to catch up and the advancement of monitoring solutions also will promote safety from what basically would be omnicidal maniacs(likely result of all biological life gone from machine rule).
I said slowing down progress (especially of the centralized leaders) will likely lead to safer multipolar scenarios, so not sure what you are arguing is ‘incorrect’.
AGI coup completion is an assumption; if safer alternatives arise, such as biosingularity or cyborgism, it is entirely possible that it could be avoided and humanity remains extant.
Right now we have a very centralized AGI race dominated by a few large US tech firms, with China in a distant second and not much else for known contenders. If the US/west makes a serious regulatory attempt to slow progress but China does not agree, that would probably only slow the race down by a few years and allow China’s chosen winner(s) to take the lead. Seems more likely the US will not take that chance.
In the unlikely scenario where there is true full international cooperation to slow progress, I expect that to simply allow some new decentralized crypto org to take the lead. In general multipolar scenarios are probably better.
AGI is coup complete regardless and probably implies regime change eventually—but hopefully subtle rather than overt.
Incorrect, as every slowdown in progress allows alternative technologies to catch up and the advancement of monitoring solutions also will promote safety from what basically would be omnicidal maniacs(likely result of all biological life gone from machine rule).
I said slowing down progress (especially of the centralized leaders) will likely lead to safer multipolar scenarios, so not sure what you are arguing is ‘incorrect’.
AGI coup completion is an assumption; if safer alternatives arise, such as biosingularity or cyborgism, it is entirely possible that it could be avoided and humanity remains extant.