Yeah, I do feel confused about the extent to which the solution to this problem is just “selectively become dumber” (e.g. as discussed by Habryka here). However, I have faith that there are a bunch of Pareto improvements to be made—for example, I think that less neuroticism helps you get less pwned without making you dumber in general. (Though as a counterpoint, maybe neuroticism was useful for helping people identify AI risk?) I’d like to figure out theories of virtue and emotional health good enough to allow us to robustly identify other such Pareto improvements.
A related thought that I had recently: fertility decline seem like a rough proxy for “how pwned are you getting by memes”, and fertility is strongly anticorrelated with population-level intelligence. So you have east asians getting hit hardest by the fertility crisis, then white populations, then south asians, while african fertility is still very high. Obviously this is confounded by metrics like development and urbanization, though, so it’s hard to say if intelligence mediates the decline directly or primarily via creating wealth—but it does seem like e.g. east asians are getting hit disproportionately hard. (Plausibly there’s some way to figure this out more robustly by looking at subpopulations.)
Yeah, I do feel confused about the extent to which the solution to this problem is just “selectively become dumber” (e.g. as discussed by Habryka here). However, I have faith that there are a bunch of Pareto improvements to be made—for example, I think that less neuroticism helps you get less pwned without making you dumber in general. (Though as a counterpoint, maybe neuroticism was useful for helping people identify AI risk?) I’d like to figure out theories of virtue and emotional health good enough to allow us to robustly identify other such Pareto improvements.
A related thought that I had recently: fertility decline seem like a rough proxy for “how pwned are you getting by memes”, and fertility is strongly anticorrelated with population-level intelligence. So you have east asians getting hit hardest by the fertility crisis, then white populations, then south asians, while african fertility is still very high. Obviously this is confounded by metrics like development and urbanization, though, so it’s hard to say if intelligence mediates the decline directly or primarily via creating wealth—but it does seem like e.g. east asians are getting hit disproportionately hard. (Plausibly there’s some way to figure this out more robustly by looking at subpopulations.)