I think the same world that coordinated well enough to do a centuries-long AGI pause (without heralding a dark age of negative economic growth or global totalitarianism, etc) is probably also more than capable of preventing thermonuclear war, extinction-level artificial pandemics, grey goo, etc.
At that point your biggest risks are natural x-risks (very low), authoritarian backsliding, meme wars, and some fraction of unknown unknowns.
I think the same world that coordinated well enough to do a centuries-long AGI pause (without heralding a dark age of negative economic growth or global totalitarianism, etc) is probably also more than capable of preventing thermonuclear war, extinction-level artificial pandemics, grey goo, etc.
At that point your biggest risks are natural x-risks (very low), authoritarian backsliding, meme wars, and some fraction of unknown unknowns.