I think the thing I want here is a better analysis of the tradeoff and when to take it (according to one’s inside view), rather than something like an outside view account that says “probably don’t”.
(And you are indeed contributing to understanding that tradeoff, your first comment indeed gives two major reasons, but it still feels to me true to say about many people in history and not just people today.)
Suppose we plot “All people alive” on the x-axis, and “Probability you should do rationality on your inside view” on the y-axis. Here are two opinions one could have about people during the time of Bacon.
“Some people should do rationality, and most people shouldn’t.”
″Some people should not think about it, and some people should consider it regularly and sometimes do it.”
I want to express something more like the second one than the first.
I think the thing I want here is a better analysis of the tradeoff and when to take it (according to one’s inside view), rather than something like an outside view account that says “probably don’t”.
(And you are indeed contributing to understanding that tradeoff, your first comment indeed gives two major reasons, but it still feels to me true to say about many people in history and not just people today.)
Suppose we plot “All people alive” on the x-axis, and “Probability you should do rationality on your inside view” on the y-axis. Here are two opinions one could have about people during the time of Bacon.
I want to express something more like the second one than the first.