I use Metaculus a lot, and have made predictions on the /r/SpaceX subreddit which I need to go back and make a calibration graph for.
(They regularly bet donations of reddit gold, and have occasional prediction threads, like just before large SpaceX announcements. They would make an excellent target audience for better prediction tools.)
I’ve toyed with the idea of making a bot which searched for keywords on Reddit/LW, and tracked people’s predictions for them. However, since LW is moving away from the reddit code base, I’m not sure if building such a bot would make sense right now.
I use Metaculus a lot, and have made predictions on the /r/SpaceX subreddit which I need to go back and make a calibration graph for.
(They regularly bet donations of reddit gold, and have occasional prediction threads, like just before large SpaceX announcements. They would make an excellent target audience for better prediction tools.)
I’ve toyed with the idea of making a bot which searched for keywords on Reddit/LW, and tracked people’s predictions for them. However, since LW is moving away from the reddit code base, I’m not sure if building such a bot would make sense right now.