I know that I have observed and corrected a pattern like that in my thinking in the past. Studying biases is useless if you don’t adjust your own thinking at times you identify a bias that may be affecting it.
I think your prior for the comment you describe being true should be very high, and I’d like to know what additional evidence you had that brought that probability down. You’ve mentioned in the past that the high status tone of the sequences caught your attention and appealed to you. Isn’t it possible that you are flawed? I know I am.
Actually, I think what Jack said (that this post is signaling, but nothing else about his comment) is true, and my reply is also quite possibly true. But I don’t know how I should act differently in accordance with the possibility. It’s a case of epistemic luck if it is true. (As an aside, I think this is Alicorn’s best article on this website by leaps and bounds; I recommend it, &c.)
You’ve mentioned in the past that the high status tone of the sequences caught your attention and appealed to you.
I know that I have observed and corrected a pattern like that in my thinking in the past. Studying biases is useless if you don’t adjust your own thinking at times you identify a bias that may be affecting it.
I think your prior for the comment you describe being true should be very high, and I’d like to know what additional evidence you had that brought that probability down. You’ve mentioned in the past that the high status tone of the sequences caught your attention and appealed to you. Isn’t it possible that you are flawed? I know I am.
Actually, I think what Jack said (that this post is signaling, but nothing else about his comment) is true, and my reply is also quite possibly true. But I don’t know how I should act differently in accordance with the possibility. It’s a case of epistemic luck if it is true. (As an aside, I think this is Alicorn’s best article on this website by leaps and bounds; I recommend it, &c.)
What?