This is a great write-up and I found myself reading a few of your previous posts too. However, I’m left by all of this with a disappointingly mundane vision of the future where technology doesn’t change much.
I would be curious to hear about some tech and ideas that you’re optimistic about or that you think *will* deliver.
IMO, “nanotech” that takes the form of increasingly weird biotech. Crops genetically engineered to be more efficient at photosynthesis. Lots of progress in medicine.
And of course there is AI progress, which is where a lot of crazy stuff will happen. Most code being written by AIs, most mathematical theorems by proved by AIs. Interesting things will happen with robots too, just not home robots.
I’m pretty optimistic about the future in general! I’m hopeful that AI creates enough abundance that we can pursue all sorts of wild ideas without needing to justify it with profit. A world where countries start a Mars colony just for national pride, or one where civilians leave on a lightsail just because they can.
This is a great write-up and I found myself reading a few of your previous posts too. However, I’m left by all of this with a disappointingly mundane vision of the future where technology doesn’t change much.
I would be curious to hear about some tech and ideas that you’re optimistic about or that you think *will* deliver.
IMO, “nanotech” that takes the form of increasingly weird biotech. Crops genetically engineered to be more efficient at photosynthesis. Lots of progress in medicine.
And of course there is AI progress, which is where a lot of crazy stuff will happen. Most code being written by AIs, most mathematical theorems by proved by AIs. Interesting things will happen with robots too, just not home robots.
Agreed. I need to write a post on this but longevity tech looks a lot like nanotechnology for repairing our bodies.
https://www.writingruxandrabio.com/p/autoimmune-therapies-an-inspiration
I’m pretty optimistic about the future in general! I’m hopeful that AI creates enough abundance that we can pursue all sorts of wild ideas without needing to justify it with profit. A world where countries start a Mars colony just for national pride, or one where civilians leave on a lightsail just because they can.
AI safely automating all tasks:
https://splittinginfinity.substack.com/p/on-ai-scaling
https://splittinginfinity.substack.com/p/training-on-aligned-data-mostly-solves
On flying and self-driving cars :
https://splittinginfinity.substack.com/p/links-29?open=false#%C2%A73
https://splittinginfinity.substack.com/p/new-cities-for-self-driving-cars
Hyperlogistics:
https://splittinginfinity.substack.com/p/delivering-a-revamped-mailbox
Recycling atoms:
https://splittinginfinity.substack.com/p/recycling-atoms-with-supercritical
Remaking our economy around solar, wind, batteries (and a little natural gas):
https://splittinginfinity.substack.com/p/net-zero-part-1-energy
Space tech:
https://splittinginfinity.substack.com/p/the-economics-of-space-tethers
https://splittinginfinity.substack.com/p/the-high-potential-of-satellites
https://splittinginfinity.substack.com/p/a-glass-oneill-cylinder-in-leo
Further in the future, I see building a Dyson sphere and whole brain emulation as feasible (I’m writing posts on these).