I think the bigger problem is that A.I. Alarmism is being drowned out by other forms of Alarmism(of which there are many). This topic can be summarized to a few key numbers:
What is the probabilitiy that the event “A.I. attempts to optimize humanity out of existence”. This is fundamentally a time series since the probability today will differ than the probability 1 year or 10 years from now.
If the event occurs, what is the probability that it is successful and what is the cost in lives, resources, etc...
While I do not have the expertise on this, there are many people who do have this knowledge. But it is important to keep in mind that whether A.I. Alarmism is justified or not depends on these numbers. Also as a policy maker, there are many other issues (some are emperically severe) that may outweigh this issue and thus require their finite attention span.
I think the bigger problem is that A.I. Alarmism is being drowned out by other forms of Alarmism(of which there are many). This topic can be summarized to a few key numbers:
What is the probabilitiy that the event “A.I. attempts to optimize humanity out of existence”. This is fundamentally a time series since the probability today will differ than the probability 1 year or 10 years from now.
If the event occurs, what is the probability that it is successful and what is the cost in lives, resources, etc...
While I do not have the expertise on this, there are many people who do have this knowledge. But it is important to keep in mind that whether A.I. Alarmism is justified or not depends on these numbers. Also as a policy maker, there are many other issues (some are emperically severe) that may outweigh this issue and thus require their finite attention span.