ryan_greenblatt comments on Will compute bottlenecks prevent a software intelligence explosion?

[ryan_greenblatt]

I’ll define an “SIE” as “we can get >=5 OOMs of increase in effective training compute in <1 years without needing more hardware”. I

This is as of the point of full AI R&D automation? Or as of any point?

[Tom Davidson]

I meant at any point, but was imagining the period around full automation yeah. Why do you ask?