This was a great post. I’ll use it to introduce people to key concepts in the future.
Many of these focus on the posterior’s first moment. For continuous distributions, the higher moments matter, too. A test that I expected to lower the variance in my posterior would be considered “confirming” as I use the word. I can’t lower the variance before the test is done because it’s still possible the mean will change.
This was a great post. I’ll use it to introduce people to key concepts in the future.
Many of these focus on the posterior’s first moment. For continuous distributions, the higher moments matter, too. A test that I expected to lower the variance in my posterior would be considered “confirming” as I use the word. I can’t lower the variance before the test is done because it’s still possible the mean will change.