Incorrect demanding further proof for an idea with as many single points of failure as cryonics is logical and sensible. The ability to make a rational decision means you need sufficient evidence of a sufficient quality to make you conclusions. Eliminate some more single points of failure from cryonics then maybe. Its like thinking you can solve a math problem with ten variables where you only have information and relations for two.
This paragraph seems very confused. You have made a decision, have you not? You have decided not to be cryopreserved. And you’ve made it with no more information than we have. The fact that your decision consists of deciding upon inaction, doesn’t make it not a decision. Whether you choose to be cryopreserved or not, you have to choose one way or the other, albeit not necessarily explicitly. You are simultaneously claiming that a rational decision is impossible while arguing for your decision! It’s not clear to me how that can be considered consistent. One of these choices is the “default” one, to be sure, but that’s just a result of current circumstances; it’s not inherent in the problem.
Furthermore you seem to be insisting that it is necessary to know cryonics works before considering it worthwhile. This is false; it is only necessary to assign it a sufficiently high probability of working to make it worth it. Ultimately, you look at the evidence you have, you assess a probability, and you make a decision based on that. Simply saying “we don’t know” doesn’t suffice to make a decision—in particular, it doesn’t suffice to make the decision not to be cryopreserved any more than it suffices to make the decision to be cryopreserved. An actual probability is needed.
I also don’t understand your claim that at sufficiently low levels of information, rational decision is impossible. What exactly do you propose as a way to make decisions at low information, how is it not rational, and how does it support the decision you’ve made not to be cryopreserved?
This paragraph seems very confused. You have made a decision, have you not? You have decided not to be cryopreserved. And you’ve made it with no more information than we have. The fact that your decision consists of deciding upon inaction, doesn’t make it not a decision. Whether you choose to be cryopreserved or not, you have to choose one way or the other, albeit not necessarily explicitly. You are simultaneously claiming that a rational decision is impossible while arguing for your decision! It’s not clear to me how that can be considered consistent. One of these choices is the “default” one, to be sure, but that’s just a result of current circumstances; it’s not inherent in the problem.
Furthermore you seem to be insisting that it is necessary to know cryonics works before considering it worthwhile. This is false; it is only necessary to assign it a sufficiently high probability of working to make it worth it. Ultimately, you look at the evidence you have, you assess a probability, and you make a decision based on that. Simply saying “we don’t know” doesn’t suffice to make a decision—in particular, it doesn’t suffice to make the decision not to be cryopreserved any more than it suffices to make the decision to be cryopreserved. An actual probability is needed.
I also don’t understand your claim that at sufficiently low levels of information, rational decision is impossible. What exactly do you propose as a way to make decisions at low information, how is it not rational, and how does it support the decision you’ve made not to be cryopreserved?