Hey @Nathan Young—agreed on mechanism design and AI 2027 / more narrative or world-model artefacts.
I work as a product strategist & foresight type person in a tech company; incredibly, I’m still employed and the product teams find the work very useful for making decisions.
I’ve set out my views on why forecasting has failed to have the impact many expected, where there are signs of life, and how/why things need to be different if we want it to meaningfully shape how non-specialists think & act. I’d really welcome your view on some of this!
Hey @Nathan Young—agreed on mechanism design and AI 2027 / more narrative or world-model artefacts.
I work as a product strategist & foresight type person in a tech company; incredibly, I’m still employed and the product teams find the work very useful for making decisions.
I’ve set out my views on why forecasting has failed to have the impact many expected, where there are signs of life, and how/why things need to be different if we want it to meaningfully shape how non-specialists think & act. I’d really welcome your view on some of this!
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/prNvmghPQyBivEakM/bloomberg-terminals-for-the-rest-of-us