I strongly disagree. It would be very easy for a non-omnipotent, unpopular, government that has limited knowledge of the future, that will be overthrown in twenty years to do a hell of a lot of damage with negative utilitarianism, or any other imperfect utilitarianism. On a smaller scale, even individuals could do it alone.
A negative utilitarian could easily judge that something that had the side effect of making people infertile would cause far less suffering than not doing it, causing immense real world suffering amongst the people who wanted to have kids, and ending civilizations. If they were competent enough, or the problem slightly easier than expected, they could use a disease that did that without obvious symptoms, and end humanity.
Alternately, a utilitarian that valued the far future too much might continually cause the life of those around them to be hell for the sake of imaginary effects on said far future. They might even know those effects are incredibly unlikely, and that they are more likely to be wrong than right due to the distance, but it’s what the math says, so...they cause a civil war. The government equivalent would be to conquer Africa (success not necessary for the negative effects, of course), or something like that, because your country is obviously better at ruling, and that would make the future brighter. (This could also be something done by a negative utilitarian to alleviate the long-term suffering of Africans).
Being in a limited situation does not automatically make Utilitarianism safe. (Nor any other general framework.) The specifics are always important.
A negative utilitarian could easily judge that something that had the side effect of making people infertile would cause far less suffering than not doing it, causing immense real world suffering amongst the people who wanted to have kids, and ending civilizations. If they were competent enough, or the problem slightly easier than expected, they could use a disease that did that without obvious symptoms, and end humanity.
But you’re thinking of people completely dedicated to an ideology.
That’s why I’m saying a “negative utilitarian charter” rather than “a government formed of people autistically following a philosophy”… much like, e.g. the US government has a “liberal democratic” charter, or the USSR had a “communist” charter of sorts.
In practice these things don’t come about because member in the organization disagree, secret leak, conspiracies are throttled by lack of consensus, politicians voted out, engineered solutions imperfect (and good engineers and scinetists are aware of as much)
It doesn’t take many people to cause these effects. If we make them ‘the way’, following them doesn’t take an extremist, just someone trying to make the world better, or some maximizer. Both these types are plenty common, and don’t have to make it fanatical at all. The maximizer could just be a small band of petty bureaucrats who happen to have power over the area in question. Each one of them just does their role, with a knowledge that it is to prevent overall suffering. These aren’t even the kind of bureaucrats we usually dislike! They are also monsters, because the system has terrible (and knowable) side effects.
I strongly disagree. It would be very easy for a non-omnipotent, unpopular, government that has limited knowledge of the future, that will be overthrown in twenty years to do a hell of a lot of damage with negative utilitarianism, or any other imperfect utilitarianism. On a smaller scale, even individuals could do it alone.
A negative utilitarian could easily judge that something that had the side effect of making people infertile would cause far less suffering than not doing it, causing immense real world suffering amongst the people who wanted to have kids, and ending civilizations. If they were competent enough, or the problem slightly easier than expected, they could use a disease that did that without obvious symptoms, and end humanity.
Alternately, a utilitarian that valued the far future too much might continually cause the life of those around them to be hell for the sake of imaginary effects on said far future. They might even know those effects are incredibly unlikely, and that they are more likely to be wrong than right due to the distance, but it’s what the math says, so...they cause a civil war. The government equivalent would be to conquer Africa (success not necessary for the negative effects, of course), or something like that, because your country is obviously better at ruling, and that would make the future brighter. (This could also be something done by a negative utilitarian to alleviate the long-term suffering of Africans).
Being in a limited situation does not automatically make Utilitarianism safe. (Nor any other general framework.) The specifics are always important.
But you’re thinking of people completely dedicated to an ideology.
That’s why I’m saying a “negative utilitarian charter” rather than “a government formed of people autistically following a philosophy”… much like, e.g. the US government has a “liberal democratic” charter, or the USSR had a “communist” charter of sorts.
In practice these things don’t come about because member in the organization disagree, secret leak, conspiracies are throttled by lack of consensus, politicians voted out, engineered solutions imperfect (and good engineers and scinetists are aware of as much)
It doesn’t take many people to cause these effects. If we make them ‘the way’, following them doesn’t take an extremist, just someone trying to make the world better, or some maximizer. Both these types are plenty common, and don’t have to make it fanatical at all. The maximizer could just be a small band of petty bureaucrats who happen to have power over the area in question. Each one of them just does their role, with a knowledge that it is to prevent overall suffering. These aren’t even the kind of bureaucrats we usually dislike! They are also monsters, because the system has terrible (and knowable) side effects.