This raised by confidence that I’m right and both of you are wrong (I had updated based on your previous comment to 0.3 confidence I’m right, now I’m back to 0.8). Skokwave’s analysis would be correct if Q was different in the counterfactual world. I’m going to reply there in more detail.
This raised by confidence that I’m right and both of you are wrong (I had updated based on your previous comment to 0.3 confidence I’m right, now I’m back to 0.8). Skokwave’s analysis would be correct if Q was different in the counterfactual world. I’m going to reply there in more detail.