1) Based on analogy with the human brain (which is quite puny in terms of energy & matter) & also based on examination of current trends, merely super human intelligence should not be especially costly.
(It is of course possible that the powerful would channel all AI into some tasks of very high perceived value like human brain emulation, radical life extension or space colonization leaving very little AI for every thing else...)
2) Demand & supply curves are already crude. Combining AI labor & human labor into the same demand & supply curves seems like a mistake.
3) Realistically I suspect that human labor supply will shift to the left b/c of ‘UBI’.
4) Ignoring preference for humans, demand for human labor may also shift to the left as AI entrepreneurs would tend to optimize things around AI.
5) The economy will probably grow quite a bit. And preference for humans is likely substantial for certain types of jobs eg NFL player, runway model etc.
6) Combining 4 & 5 suggests a very steep demand curve for human labor.
7) Combining 3 & 6 suggests that a few people (eg 20% of adults) will have decent paying jobs & the rest will live off of savings or ‘UBI’.
I agree that I initially misread your post. I will edit my other comment.
A few key points…
1) Based on analogy with the human brain (which is quite puny in terms of energy & matter) & also based on examination of current trends, merely super human intelligence should not be especially costly.
(It is of course possible that the powerful would channel all AI into some tasks of very high perceived value like human brain emulation, radical life extension or space colonization leaving very little AI for every thing else...)
2) Demand & supply curves are already crude. Combining AI labor & human labor into the same demand & supply curves seems like a mistake.
3) Realistically I suspect that human labor supply will shift to the left b/c of ‘UBI’.
4) Ignoring preference for humans, demand for human labor may also shift to the left as AI entrepreneurs would tend to optimize things around AI.
5) The economy will probably grow quite a bit. And preference for humans is likely substantial for certain types of jobs eg NFL player, runway model etc.
6) Combining 4 & 5 suggests a very steep demand curve for human labor.
7) Combining 3 & 6 suggests that a few people (eg 20% of adults) will have decent paying jobs & the rest will live off of savings or ‘UBI’.
I agree that I initially misread your post. I will edit my other comment.