I don’t think you can test everything that way either, but at the very least you can gather and work off information less far removed from the actual thing. Speculating on chains of probabilities of hypotheticals isn’t conducive to accurate estimates, as anyone who’s had an argument about P(doom) knows.
I don’t think you can test everything that way either, but at the very least you can gather and work off information less far removed from the actual thing. Speculating on chains of probabilities of hypotheticals isn’t conducive to accurate estimates, as anyone who’s had an argument about P(doom) knows.