The number of possible probability distributions is far larger than the two induced by the belief that P, and the belief that ~P.
If at this point you don’t agree that the probability is 0.5 I’d like to hear your number.
P(A) = 2^-K(A).
As for ~A, see: http://lesswrong.com/lw/vs/selling_nonapples/ (The negation of a complex proposition is much vaguer, and hence more probable (and useless))
The number of possible probability distributions is far larger than the two induced by the belief that P, and the belief that ~P.
If at this point you don’t agree that the probability is 0.5 I’d like to hear your number.
P(A) = 2^-K(A).
As for ~A, see: http://lesswrong.com/lw/vs/selling_nonapples/ (The negation of a complex proposition is much vaguer, and hence more probable (and useless))