I’ve been in the mostly-academic AI circles in the Boston area for decades. Lots of people in these circles think ASI is plausibly close. I think it’s difficult to pay close technical attention to the field and not think that AI is currently par-human, and improving every year. Many of them disagree with LessWrong concensus that it will be fatal, of course. Or simply haven’t thought it through.
I’ve been in the mostly-academic AI circles in the Boston area for decades. Lots of people in these circles think ASI is plausibly close. I think it’s difficult to pay close technical attention to the field and not think that AI is currently par-human, and improving every year. Many of them disagree with LessWrong concensus that it will be fatal, of course. Or simply haven’t thought it through.