Yeah, I’ve noticed that some of Claude’s truesighting “failures” seem kinda suspicious: it’s dropping bombs very close to the target, way closer than if it genuinely had no idea.
Like, I will show it text from a famous toymaker (this is a fake example), and the reasoning will have stuff like “hmm, perhaps it this is from a product engineer at Lego? Wait, perhaps it’s from the CEO of Mattel? Maybe Hasbro-adjacent...?” And then the final answer will be “sorry chief, idk. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯”
...and this will be “neutral” text that has nothing to do with toymaking!
Even if this is not deception (we could imagine a scenario where a model knows but doesn’t feel confident enough to throw its chips down on a guess), it still seems disconcertingly “aimed in the right direction”, which might indicate that even better truesighting is possible (and on the horizon).
Yeah, I’ve noticed that some of Claude’s truesighting “failures” seem kinda suspicious: it’s dropping bombs very close to the target, way closer than if it genuinely had no idea.
Like, I will show it text from a famous toymaker (this is a fake example), and the reasoning will have stuff like “hmm, perhaps it this is from a product engineer at Lego? Wait, perhaps it’s from the CEO of Mattel? Maybe Hasbro-adjacent...?” And then the final answer will be “sorry chief, idk. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯”
...and this will be “neutral” text that has nothing to do with toymaking!
Even if this is not deception (we could imagine a scenario where a model knows but doesn’t feel confident enough to throw its chips down on a guess), it still seems disconcertingly “aimed in the right direction”, which might indicate that even better truesighting is possible (and on the horizon).