(Epistemic status: I am signal boosting this with an explicit one-line summary that makes clear it is bearish for LLMs, because scary news about LLM capability acceleration is usually more visible/available than this update seems to be. Read the post for caveats.)
LLM coding assistants may actually slow developers down, contrary to their expectations:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/9eizzh3gtcRvWipq8/measuring-the-impact-of-early-2025-ai-on-experienced-open
(Epistemic status: I am signal boosting this with an explicit one-line summary that makes clear it is bearish for LLMs, because scary news about LLM capability acceleration is usually more visible/available than this update seems to be. Read the post for caveats.)