“Is a fleeting emotional sense of certainty over 1 minute, worth automatically discarding the potential $5-million outcome?”—I know it’s mostly outside of what is being modelled here, but suspect that someone who takes the 90% bet and wins nothing might experience much more than just a fleeting sense of disappointment, much more than someone who takes the 45% chance and doesn’t win.
“Is a fleeting emotional sense of certainty over 1 minute, worth automatically discarding the potential $5-million outcome?”—I know it’s mostly outside of what is being modelled here, but suspect that someone who takes the 90% bet and wins nothing might experience much more than just a fleeting sense of disappointment, much more than someone who takes the 45% chance and doesn’t win.