I was trying to paint a rough sketch of “spillovers in context” most of which is done well in your scenario planning. My disagreement largely with the current rapidly developing “state-AI complex”. The amount of private (and likely soon, public) capital, talent, state interest concentrated make it unlikely that TRT will be acceptable.
I would argue AI2040′s linchpin is compute. Coordinate compute, open up almost everything else. Governments and companies want control of many other things, algorithms, talent, data etc. These will also be negotiable between companies and states. This means companies, states get to keep certain advantages in return for offers . Algorithms alongside compute are likely to be the most significant assets under negotiation & both will be part of asks and offers.
I will definitely have a look at filtered transparency, it may help anticipate some of the mechanics here.
Hi Thomas, sorry this was not very clear,
I was trying to paint a rough sketch of “spillovers in context” most of which is done well in your scenario planning. My disagreement largely with the current rapidly developing “state-AI complex”. The amount of private (and likely soon, public) capital, talent, state interest concentrated make it unlikely that TRT will be acceptable.
I would argue AI2040′s linchpin is compute. Coordinate compute, open up almost everything else. Governments and companies want control of many other things, algorithms, talent, data etc. These will also be negotiable between companies and states. This means companies, states get to keep certain advantages in return for offers . Algorithms alongside compute are likely to be the most significant assets under negotiation & both will be part of asks and offers.
I will definitely have a look at filtered transparency, it may help anticipate some of the mechanics here.