Additionally, 0.1% is way too high for the probability that significant agent-level time-travel exists in our universe.
The one person I asked—Anders Sandberg—gave 1% as his first estimate. But for most low probabilities, exponential shrinkage will eventually chew up the difference. A 100 orders of magnitude—what’s that, an extra 10,000 years?
The one person I asked—Anders Sandberg—gave 1% as his first estimate. But for most low probabilities, exponential shrinkage will eventually chew up the difference. A 100 orders of magnitude—what’s that, an extra 10,000 years?