I do have a spreadsheet where I keep track of predictions, though only tracking the prediction, my confidence, and whether it came true or false. It’s low effort and I think worth doing, but I can’t confidently say that it has improved my calibration.
I do have a spreadsheet where I keep track of predictions, though only tracking the prediction, my confidence, and whether it came true or false. It’s low effort and I think worth doing, but I can’t confidently say that it has improved my calibration.