Consider the entire probability space: The odds of a major surgical accident, multiplied by the cost of a major surgical accident, against the odds of this untreated anomaly becoming cancerous, multiplied by the cost of that.
Go down the list towards more probable things, and I think you’ll find that the median outcome is losing $1k, but the expected outcome is saving 2% of your jaw and some embarrassment. (Or some other percentage).
Consider the entire probability space: The odds of a major surgical accident, multiplied by the cost of a major surgical accident, against the odds of this untreated anomaly becoming cancerous, multiplied by the cost of that.
Go down the list towards more probable things, and I think you’ll find that the median outcome is losing $1k, but the expected outcome is saving 2% of your jaw and some embarrassment. (Or some other percentage).