Agree that most sociological, economic and environmental problems that loom large in current context will radically shift in importance in next decade or two, to the point that they are probably no longer worth devoting any significant resources to in the present. Impacts of AI are only issue worth worrying about. But even assuming utopian outcomes; who gets possession of the Malibu beach houses in post scarcity world?
Once significant white-collar job losses start to mount in a year or two I think it inevitable that a powerful and electorally dominant anti-AI movement will grow, at least in erstwhile democracies, and likely ban most AGI applications outside of a few fields where fewer workers would stand to lose jobs (health—with near endless demand, perhaps cutting edge tech where payoff to human net welfare is highest). Butlerian Jihad-lite.
It won’t save us, and has substantial risk of ushering in repressive authoritarianism in the political ruckus caused but will likely delay our demise or (at best) delivery into powerless pet status by perhaps a decade or two.
Agree that most sociological, economic and environmental problems that loom large in current context will radically shift in importance in next decade or two, to the point that they are probably no longer worth devoting any significant resources to in the present. Impacts of AI are only issue worth worrying about. But even assuming utopian outcomes; who gets possession of the Malibu beach houses in post scarcity world?
Once significant white-collar job losses start to mount in a year or two I think it inevitable that a powerful and electorally dominant anti-AI movement will grow, at least in erstwhile democracies, and likely ban most AGI applications outside of a few fields where fewer workers would stand to lose jobs (health—with near endless demand, perhaps cutting edge tech where payoff to human net welfare is highest). Butlerian Jihad-lite.
It won’t save us, and has substantial risk of ushering in repressive authoritarianism in the political ruckus caused but will likely delay our demise or (at best) delivery into powerless pet status by perhaps a decade or two.