I want to see if I understand: you saying that participants in prediction markets use microeconomic and macroeconomic tools. And, because microeconomic tools can overfit and macroeconomic tools are subject to the Lucas critique, prediction markets has kinks to work out?
I want to see if I understand: you saying that participants in prediction markets use microeconomic and macroeconomic tools. And, because microeconomic tools can overfit and macroeconomic tools are subject to the Lucas critique, prediction markets has kinks to work out?