Certainly the consequences of us being wrong are bad, but that isn’t necessarily enough to outweigh the presumably low prior probability that we’re wrong. (I’m not taking a stance on how low this probability is because I don’t know enough about the situation.) Presumably people also feel like there are game-theoretic reasons not to respond to such threats.
Certainly the consequences of us being wrong are bad, but that isn’t necessarily enough to outweigh the presumably low prior probability that we’re wrong. (I’m not taking a stance on how low this probability is because I don’t know enough about the situation.) Presumably people also feel like there are game-theoretic reasons not to respond to such threats.