Indeed, Intrade didn’t necessarily perform very well for the 2012 races: http://www.gwern.net/2012%20election%20predictions
I suspect Intrade will perform even worse next year now that they have banned American users due to persecution from CFTC.
Ah; I had missed that news story, that’s a shame.
Indeed, Intrade didn’t necessarily perform very well for the 2012 races: http://www.gwern.net/2012%20election%20predictions
I suspect Intrade will perform even worse next year now that they have banned American users due to persecution from CFTC.
Ah; I had missed that news story, that’s a shame.