I am a young bushy eyed first year PhD. I imagine if you knew how much of a child of summer I was you would sneer on sheer principle, and it would be justified. I have seen a lot of people expecting eternal summer, and this is why I predict a chilly fall. Not a full winter, but a slowdown as expectations come back to reality.
I wish I was wise enough at your age to post my gut feeling on internet so that I could better update later. Well, internet did not exist, but you got the idea.
One question after gwern’s reformulation: do you agree that, in the past, technical progress in ML almost always came first (before fundamental understanding)? In other words, is the crux of your post that we should no longer hope for practical progress without truly understanding why what we do should work?
I am a young bushy eyed first year PhD. I imagine if you knew how much of a child of summer I was you would sneer on sheer principle, and it would be justified. I have seen a lot of people expecting eternal summer, and this is why I predict a chilly fall. Not a full winter, but a slowdown as expectations come back to reality.
I wish I was wise enough at your age to post my gut feeling on internet so that I could better update later. Well, internet did not exist, but you got the idea.
One question after gwern’s reformulation: do you agree that, in the past, technical progress in ML almost always came first (before fundamental understanding)? In other words, is the crux of your post that we should no longer hope for practical progress without truly understanding why what we do should work?