I think your claim the rudimentary abilities arrive before transformational ones cannot be applied to A.I. the same as human intelligence. While humans might have taken millennia to go from caveman painting to our current ability to produce artistic images, it is clear that A.I. became transformational very quickly in that particular field. You see the same transformational abilities in text writing, music and video too and software development is getting there.
Some of the more artistic of these abilities don’t have a clear benchmark, but even with more fuzzy criteria for success, they already outcompute most humans.
Some of the building blocks of A.I. are fundamentally different from us, that is why the have difficuty with some tasks. Their metacognitive, learning and memory abilities has been improved significantly over the last couple of years, but it is still a pale shadow compared to what we are capable of. And in some of the transformational tasks, these abilities are essential.
Horizon length is an imperfect measurement of the lack of some of the abilities.
I think your claim the rudimentary abilities arrive before transformational ones cannot be applied to A.I. the same as human intelligence. While humans might have taken millennia to go from caveman painting to our current ability to produce artistic images, it is clear that A.I. became transformational very quickly in that particular field. You see the same transformational abilities in text writing, music and video too and software development is getting there.
Some of the more artistic of these abilities don’t have a clear benchmark, but even with more fuzzy criteria for success, they already outcompute most humans.
Some of the building blocks of A.I. are fundamentally different from us, that is why the have difficuty with some tasks. Their metacognitive, learning and memory abilities has been improved significantly over the last couple of years, but it is still a pale shadow compared to what we are capable of. And in some of the transformational tasks, these abilities are essential.
Horizon length is an imperfect measurement of the lack of some of the abilities.