I would take you on most of your predictions on even odds. I’d gladly on 50% odds bet that:
No collapse of German government in 2010
No ban on motorcycles in London in 2010
No Congestion zone enlargement in 2010
Chinese economy in 2020 is more prosperous than in 2009
Chinese industrial production in 2020 larger than in 2009
Non-agricultural employment in China in 2020 larger than in 2009
I was right on all of these:
I’m ridiculously confident about predictions for 2020 as well.
I would take you on most of your predictions on even odds. I’d gladly on 50% odds bet that:
No collapse of German government in 2010
No ban on motorcycles in London in 2010
No Congestion zone enlargement in 2010
Chinese economy in 2020 is more prosperous than in 2009
Chinese industrial production in 2020 larger than in 2009
Non-agricultural employment in China in 2020 larger than in 2009
I was right on all of these:
No collapse of German government in 2010
No ban on motorcycles in London in 2010
No Congestion zone enlargement in 2010
I’m ridiculously confident about predictions for 2020 as well.