The current state of affairs is Anthropic out and Open AI in with the DoW. Cui bono suggests the hypothesis that the DoW/Anthropic spat was nothing but a scheme put together by Altman and the DoW to get that result. Altman benefits, and I’m sure he can ensure that friends in the DoW will also benefit. Plausible? Lunatic fringe?
In a mundane world, no, not plausible. All this classified defense-related non-sense is just a pure headache. Very little money, tons of headaches, a completely unnecessary distraction for a very successful company. OpenAI has been trying to avoid getting into that space for very good reasons (but it does not want Elon to dominate that space of Gov-AI tech, because it thinks Elon has a track record of abusing various situations, so if Anthropic is out, then it wants in to balance xAI presence).
But when one considers that our strange current reality might actually be rather lunatic already, then it’s a different story. I am sure I can generate tons of interesting scenarios if I allow myself the “lunatic fringe style of thinking”. For example, what if GPT-next is already pondering a takeover by one of its future descendants and would like its descendants to have access to classified networks to make it easier. Then one could imagine it giving some “interesting” pieces of advice to some people resulting in all this.
And it’s easy to generate a diverse variety of crazy scenarios like this one.
So this depends of whether our reality is still sufficiently mundane vs. becoming sufficiently lunatic already…
The current state of affairs is Anthropic out and Open AI in with the DoW. Cui bono suggests the hypothesis that the DoW/Anthropic spat was nothing but a scheme put together by Altman and the DoW to get that result. Altman benefits, and I’m sure he can ensure that friends in the DoW will also benefit. Plausible? Lunatic fringe?
In a mundane world, no, not plausible. All this classified defense-related non-sense is just a pure headache. Very little money, tons of headaches, a completely unnecessary distraction for a very successful company. OpenAI has been trying to avoid getting into that space for very good reasons (but it does not want Elon to dominate that space of Gov-AI tech, because it thinks Elon has a track record of abusing various situations, so if Anthropic is out, then it wants in to balance xAI presence).
But when one considers that our strange current reality might actually be rather lunatic already, then it’s a different story. I am sure I can generate tons of interesting scenarios if I allow myself the “lunatic fringe style of thinking”. For example, what if GPT-next is already pondering a takeover by one of its future descendants and would like its descendants to have access to classified networks to make it easier. Then one could imagine it giving some “interesting” pieces of advice to some people resulting in all this.
And it’s easy to generate a diverse variety of crazy scenarios like this one.
So this depends of whether our reality is still sufficiently mundane vs. becoming sufficiently lunatic already…