The rationale of reducing hardware overhang is flawed: [...] It assumes that ‘AGI’ is inevitable and/or desirable. Yet new technologies can be banned (especially when still unprofitable and not depended on by society).
Not enamored with the reducing-hardware-overhang argument either, but to essentially imply we’d have much evidence that advances in AI were preventable in today’s current econ & geopolitical environment seems rather bogus to me—and the linked paper certainly does not provide much evidence to support that idea either.
Thanks. Looking at it, the ‘can be banned’ implies that there is clearly some tractable way to ban the development of more generally functional AI.
What I meant is that other technologies have been banned before by society, using approaches that are still available. Because of that and given that people still have capacity to make choices based on what they care about/want, I think there is at least some tiny likelihood that a ban would have been possible to do for ‘AI’.
So I got shoddy by stuffing thoughts into a short sentence, and not making clear/accurate distinctions.
Let me rephrase to ‘new technologies have been banned...before’.
Insightful thanks. Minor point:
Not enamored with the reducing-hardware-overhang argument either, but to essentially imply we’d have much evidence that advances in AI were preventable in today’s current econ & geopolitical environment seems rather bogus to me—and the linked paper certainly does not provide much evidence to support that idea either.
Thanks. Looking at it, the ‘can be banned’ implies that there is clearly some tractable way to ban the development of more generally functional AI.
What I meant is that other technologies have been banned before by society, using approaches that are still available. Because of that and given that people still have capacity to make choices based on what they care about/want, I think there is at least some tiny likelihood that a ban would have been possible to do for ‘AI’.
So I got shoddy by stuffing thoughts into a short sentence, and not making clear/accurate distinctions.
Let me rephrase to ‘new technologies have been banned...before’.