fyi @Zac Hatfield-Dodds my probability has fallen below 10% - I expected at least one relevant physical<>cyber project to have started in the past six months, since it hasn’t I doubt this will make the timeline. While not conceding (because I’m still unsure how far AI uplift alone gets us), seems right to note the update.
Given your rationale I’m onboard for 3 or more consistent physical instances of the lock have been manufactured.
Lets ‘lock’ it in.
fyi @Zac Hatfield-Dodds my probability has fallen below 10% - I expected at least one relevant physical<>cyber project to have started in the past six months, since it hasn’t I doubt this will make the timeline. While not conceding (because I’m still unsure how far AI uplift alone gets us), seems right to note the update.
Nice! I look forward to seeing how this resolves.
Ah, by ‘size’ I meant the stakes, not the number of locks—did you want to bet the maximum $1k against my $10k, or some smaller proportional amount?
Ah gotcha, yes lets do my $1k against your $10k.
Locked in! Whichever way this goes, I expect to feel pretty good about both the process and the outcome :-)