updating definitely is the right thing to do epistemically, but plugging these probabilities into the expected utility calculation gives the wrong result
Why do you think epistemic questions are meaningful? This way of thinking gets you in trouble with the Anthropic Trilemma, and I don’t think there is a good way out of there.
Why do you think epistemic questions are meaningful? This way of thinking gets you in trouble with the Anthropic Trilemma, and I don’t think there is a good way out of there.