Here is a tool that will help figure out whether you are overconfident, underconfident, or neither.
Here is a good puzzle involving rationality. See the discussion here on Less Wrong once you’ve completed it.
those set kind of a low bar. don’t we have a test that more rigorously examines whether you infer correctly from data or not?
if anyone wants some fun (not making any claims about whether solving these indicate rationality, just for fun) try the blue eyes problem http://www.xkcd.com/blue_eyes.html and the “hardest logic puzzle in the world” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Hardest_Logic_Puzzle_Ever
the blue eyes puzzle in particular I enjoyed immensely.
Here is a tool that will help figure out whether you are overconfident, underconfident, or neither.
Here is a good puzzle involving rationality. See the discussion here on Less Wrong once you’ve completed it.
those set kind of a low bar. don’t we have a test that more rigorously examines whether you infer correctly from data or not?
if anyone wants some fun (not making any claims about whether solving these indicate rationality, just for fun) try the blue eyes problem http://www.xkcd.com/blue_eyes.html and the “hardest logic puzzle in the world” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Hardest_Logic_Puzzle_Ever
the blue eyes puzzle in particular I enjoyed immensely.