Why would they spend ~30 characters in a tweet to be slightly more precise while making their point more alienating to normal people who, by and large, do not believe in a singularity and think people who do are faintly ridiculous? The incentives simply are not there.
And that’s assuming they think the singularity is imminent enough that their tweets won’t be born out even beforehand. And assuming that they aren’t mostly just playing signaling games—both of these tweets read less as sober analysis to me, and more like in-group signaling.
Absolutely agreed. Wider public social norms are heavily against even mentioning any sort of major disruption due to AI in the near future (unless limited to specific jobs or copyright), and most people don’t even understand how to think about conditional predictions. Combining the two is just the sort of thing strange people like us do.
Why would they spend ~30 characters in a tweet to be slightly more precise while making their point more alienating to normal people who, by and large, do not believe in a singularity and think people who do are faintly ridiculous? The incentives simply are not there.
And that’s assuming they think the singularity is imminent enough that their tweets won’t be born out even beforehand. And assuming that they aren’t mostly just playing signaling games—both of these tweets read less as sober analysis to me, and more like in-group signaling.
Absolutely agreed. Wider public social norms are heavily against even mentioning any sort of major disruption due to AI in the near future (unless limited to specific jobs or copyright), and most people don’t even understand how to think about conditional predictions. Combining the two is just the sort of thing strange people like us do.