As you can’t know is current reality simulation or not, you could propose 50-50 probability as you have no anchor to operate on.
a)Current reality is a simulation ran by superintellegent computers. In this case you shouldn’t hesitate even for a second—you are obviously going for option 1 where you will live in a better world
b)You are living in reality. If given reality is not a simulation your utility function in simulation will differ from your real needs and wants, there you should ask a question that will maximize your real utility which can be how to bring peace to earth, bring down inequality and lift happiness level and maybe even kill death.
But actually we have some evidence of the world we live in, because supercomputer came to you and gave you two choices, it doesn’t somehow fit for what we expect to see in our daily routine. It means that supercomputers exists and probability that you live in simulation is close to 100% But in fact it is likely that Omega doesnt run simulation because you can speak to it and see it, it is more likely that there is another more powerful supercomputer out there who rans simulation on this simulation. You should choose option 1
As you can’t know is current reality simulation or not, you could propose 50-50 probability as you have no anchor to operate on.
a)Current reality is a simulation ran by superintellegent computers. In this case you shouldn’t hesitate even for a second—you are obviously going for option 1 where you will live in a better world
b)You are living in reality. If given reality is not a simulation your utility function in simulation will differ from your real needs and wants, there you should ask a question that will maximize your real utility which can be how to bring peace to earth, bring down inequality and lift happiness level and maybe even kill death.
But actually we have some evidence of the world we live in, because supercomputer came to you and gave you two choices, it doesn’t somehow fit for what we expect to see in our daily routine. It means that supercomputers exists and probability that you live in simulation is close to 100% But in fact it is likely that Omega doesnt run simulation because you can speak to it and see it, it is more likely that there is another more powerful supercomputer out there who rans simulation on this simulation. You should choose option 1