I am not sure what this post is supposed to communicate. People are generally far from being perfect Bayesian agents.
...you have to gather “evidence” to confirm it—to convince the scientific community, or justify saying that you believe in your hunch.
Are there arguments against this heuristic that are applicable to real world circumstances?
I am not sure what this post is supposed to communicate. People are generally far from being perfect Bayesian agents.
Are there arguments against this heuristic that are applicable to real world circumstances?