Keep in mind if it is a story, the arc of the story doesn’t have to be the arc you would think most likely given the sparse set of inputs you provide. 007 doesn’t get all the girls because tuxedos, martinis, and overconfidence are insanely seductive, he gets them because he is written in to get them. I make this comment because I see other comments below considering what they can predict as results of various things. Yes, you want a story to be constrained by feeling somewhat real to your audience, but you don’t want to lose 90% of your audience by nerding out in order to only lose the other 10% of your audience because you can never do prediction well enough to convince someone who gains entertainment by finding the flaws.
Writing a story is sort of like leadership. You want to tell people what you want to happen as though it is a simple fact that it will happen.
Keep in mind if it is a story, the arc of the story doesn’t have to be the arc you would think most likely given the sparse set of inputs you provide. 007 doesn’t get all the girls because tuxedos, martinis, and overconfidence are insanely seductive, he gets them because he is written in to get them. I make this comment because I see other comments below considering what they can predict as results of various things. Yes, you want a story to be constrained by feeling somewhat real to your audience, but you don’t want to lose 90% of your audience by nerding out in order to only lose the other 10% of your audience because you can never do prediction well enough to convince someone who gains entertainment by finding the flaws.
Writing a story is sort of like leadership. You want to tell people what you want to happen as though it is a simple fact that it will happen.