I think people focus too much on “would US AGI be safer than China” and not as much on “how much safer”
In the sense that US has 15% pdoom and China has 22%, this notion that everyone needs to get onboard and help US win with full effort could be bad
Could be used (and arguably is currently being used) to be even LESS safe, and empower an authoritarian mercantilist behemoth state, and possibly invade other countries for resources
And in general massively increase and accelerate pdoom simply on the idea that our pdoom is lower than theirs
I think people focus too much on “would US AGI be safer than China” and not as much on “how much safer”
In the sense that US has 15% pdoom and China has 22%, this notion that everyone needs to get onboard and help US win with full effort could be bad
Could be used (and arguably is currently being used) to be even LESS safe, and empower an authoritarian mercantilist behemoth state, and possibly invade other countries for resources
And in general massively increase and accelerate pdoom simply on the idea that our pdoom is lower than theirs