I feel the question misstates the natsec framing by jumping to the later stages of AGI and ASI. This is important because it leads to a misunderstanding of the rhetoric that convinces normal non-futurists, who aren’t spending their days thinking about superintelligence.
The American natsec framing is about an effort to preserve the status quo in which the US is the hegemon. It is a conservative appeal with global reach, which works because Pax Americana has been relatively peaceful and prosperous. Anything that threatens American dominance, including giving ground in the AI race, appears dangerously destabilizing. Any risks from AI acceleration are literally after-thoughts (a problem for tomorrow, not today).
Absurd as it is, the Trumpist effort to burn the American-led system of global cooperation to the ground is still branded as a conservative return to an imagined glorious past.
The challenge in defeating this conservative natsec framing lies in communicating that radical change is all that is on the menu, but with some options far worse than others. I, for one, currently believe the fatal effect pre-AGI AI will have on democracy and other liberal values, regardless of who wields it, to be a promising rhetorical avenue that should be amplified.
I feel the question misstates the natsec framing by jumping to the later stages of AGI and ASI. This is important because it leads to a misunderstanding of the rhetoric that convinces normal non-futurists, who aren’t spending their days thinking about superintelligence.
The American natsec framing is about an effort to preserve the status quo in which the US is the hegemon. It is a conservative appeal with global reach, which works because Pax Americana has been relatively peaceful and prosperous. Anything that threatens American dominance, including giving ground in the AI race, appears dangerously destabilizing. Any risks from AI acceleration are literally after-thoughts (a problem for tomorrow, not today).
Absurd as it is, the Trumpist effort to burn the American-led system of global cooperation to the ground is still branded as a conservative return to an imagined glorious past.
The challenge in defeating this conservative natsec framing lies in communicating that radical change is all that is on the menu, but with some options far worse than others. I, for one, currently believe the fatal effect pre-AGI AI will have on democracy and other liberal values, regardless of who wields it, to be a promising rhetorical avenue that should be amplified.